Season 2013/14 – Prelude

23 Jul
July 23, 2013

Will he stay or will he go?

Due to a work related hiatus we haven’t posted in a few months but with the approaching football season we’re looking forward to changing that. As with many other authors it is hard to pin one’s colours to the mast until the transfer merry-go-round has come to a halt. The conclusion to the Wayne Rooney transfer saga, in our minds, will in all probability prove crucial to the outcome of the title race. He is likely to provide Chelsea with the goals they require to become viable championship contenders. Should Rooney depart Old Trafford, United will have to replace him with a genuinely World class player if they are to remain competitive in the short term. Fabregas has a goal scoring record that is superior to any of the current incumbents of United’s midfield but where is the wisdom in signing a player who has expressed his desire to remain in Spain? It is unlikely that this issue will be resolved until Barcelona appoint their manager, ironically leading into a season where 7 of the 8 clubs that head the Champions’ League market will be under new stewardship.

From our own prospective, we will be looking to collect data in the coming season to enable us to compliment some of the great analytical work that has been published elsewhere. The hub forming at looks particularly promising and should bring a new dimension to the title races for an ever growing audience.

Champion Hurdle : Cheltenham 3:20.

12 Mar
March 12, 2013

Horseracing Markets

Back Hurricane Fly @9-4

The picture surrounding this year’s Champion Hurdle has changed markedly over the past week due to the change in the weather and ground conditions. Hurricane Fly seemed to be caught out last year by the very fast prevailing ground conditions and up to a week or so ago it looked as if we were set for a similar scenario. The course at Cheltenham is soft all round and underfoot conditions are set to deteriorate further. Many of the leading lights have done their best this Winter to avoid the heavier ground but events for the main day appear not to have panned out for them. In contrast, Hurricane Fly has won in desperate conditions in Ireland and few concerns have ever been expressed over his ability to handle wet ground. His hurdling this season has been sharp and he arrives off an unbeaten campaign. He deserves to be favourite to win back the Hurdling Crown and at 9-4 warrants a serious betting interest. He was posted at around 6-4 when it looked as if he was due to encounter fast ground and now finds himself at a fairer price with conditions in his favour.

Football Betting : March 10th.

10 Mar
March 10, 2013

Liverpool vs. Tottenham / Manchester United vs. Chelsea

Game Markets

Back Liverpool Draw No Bet @2-5

Back Manchester United Draw No Bet @1-3

The above bet is probably best played in a double, which pays better than 4-5 with the added insurance that if both teams avoid defeat the stake will at least be returned. The decision to take on the teams currently lying 3rd and 4th in the league table stems from the fact that both Chelsea and Tottenham are returning to the field off less than a 72 hour break. Statistically even an extra 24 hours to prepare for the next game would significantly increase the chances of success. United will be seething at the events that lead to their elimination from the Champions’ League on Tuesday night and will be highly motivated to put the season back on track. Chelsea on the other hand showed indifferent form in Bucharest and while many first team regulars didn’t play a few key players did get an outing.

Tottenham continue to fire on all cylinders but as with Chelsea a good few of the first teamers saw action on Thursday evening. In contrast Liverpool have not played for more than a week and will look to put the pressure on early. Liverpool’s shot count has increased since the turn of the year and the number of shots they concede in a game has decreased. Clearly they are in reasonable form and with Sturridge and Coutinho there is the promise of more end product; goals.

Saturday horseracing : Ascot 3:15

16 Feb
February 16, 2013

Horseracing Markets

Back Whitby Jack (EW) @7-1

Whitby Jack finds himself at the right end of the weights in this traditionally strong handicap. While he was never probably under serious consideration for taking up his entry in last Saturday’s ultra competitive Betfair Hurdle at Newbury, but the fact that someone thought he was worth an entry indicates that he still retains a fair degree of progression. He was a decisive winner at Kempton last month and is clearly at home on a right handed track. At 7-1 it is worth finding out whether he can be competitive in this higher grade but the fact that he hails from a stable more than capable of lifting big Saturday handicap hurdles, he is worth the benefit of the doubt.

Premier League betting : February 9th.

08 Feb
February 8, 2013

Tottenham vs. Newcastle

Player Markets

Back Bale to be first goal scorer vs. Newcastle (EW) @11-2

Bale is clearly Tottenham’s most likely source of goals at present given Defoe’s injury and Adebeyor’s late arrival back from the African Cup of Nations. Bale is regularly firing off more than 4 shots a game and against Newcastle he is likely to see enough of the ball due to his positional versatility. Considering that he has scored in more than 40 % of the league games in which he has played, the each way part of the bet, at odds of 1.8-1, is at least a fair prospect.

Southampton vs. Manchester City

Stats Markets

LAY Manchester City to win to nil vs. Southampton @2-1

City continue to stutter and were lucky to take something from a game in which Liverpool dominated for large parts last Sunday. City’s great strength last season was scoring 3 goals in a game which was usually enough to put a contest to bed. This term they have not scored enough goals consistently and as result teams feel as if they can take points off last season’s champions. Southampton have been much improved in recent weeks. In fact, in the league, the Saints have lost to nil on only 4 occasions. City might well over power the home side over the ninety minutes but it is unlikely that they will be fast starters seeing as many of their players will be returning from international duty. Southampton, and in particular, Lambert are likely to score but deep into the game they may be satisfied with taking a point from a 0-0 draw.

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