Track Bias

Galway Festival – Monday

29 Jul
July 29, 2013

Bad information worse than no information at all?

The first day’s racing at Galway was typically enthralling as the Ballybrit track hosted a highly competitive card. Unfortunately an old gripe resurfaced. Information available to racing supporters is at best scant and at worse, plainly inaccurate. Later going reports issued from Galway on Monday related to a softening of the surface and officially described as yielding, yielding to soft on the flat course. This information, at the time, was a boon to those attempting to pare down Tote ticket perms. Lines went through good ground horses faster than the time the bookies take to shorten a Weld runner.

Everything seemed to be going to plan, until the running of the feature race over two miles for qualified riders. Noises had been issued about the unlikely running of Domination, a confirmed good ground performer, on account of the ground. Edeymi was readily discounted as another in search of better going along with Redera, his stablemate. So imagine the consternation when on official going of yielding, yielding to soft in places, these three horses fill out the tricast between them. What was worse was the fact that the merits of Mr.S.Clements (5) were fully known to the author in a contest where pilot competency is vital.

In the same vein, it is probably virtually impossible to calculate accurate speed ratings for the meeting since rail alignments are likely to be drastically altered throughout the week and it will be a surprise if any meaningful information will be passed on. It will be worth knowing that the rails are likely to move inwards and that there will be a strong bias towards runners who race prominently on the inside of the track. But as is often the case, the exact state of the underfoot conditions will be a matter of conjecture.

Royal Ascot betting : Royal Hunt Cup

19 Jun
June 19, 2012

Horseracing Markets

Back Belgian Bill (EW) @12-1

Belgian Bill has dropped down onto a nice handicap mark of under 100 which has to be fair enough for a horse that has contested multiple pattern races. Indeed, off a mark of only two pounds lower he finished less than a length in arrears in last year’s renewal of the Britannia Stakes over course and distance. He has received a workable draw close to the stands’ rail which was certainly not a disadvantage on the first day of the meeting. He can be assured of an each way chance in this race.

Curragh Track Bias : March 25th

25 Mar
March 25, 2012

Track Bias Data

Race NoDistance (f)Lengths *Comments
362.0Croisultan did well to win from behind.
* Distance the winner was behind the leader at the two furlong pole.

Course Summary

Limited traction for those coming from off the pace on this soft ground. Winners clearly handle loose ground and it paid to race handy.

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