Archive for month: June, 2012

Euro 2012 betting : Germany vs. Italy

28 Jun
June 28, 2012

Game Markets

Back Germany to win in 90 minutes @10-11

Germany have an oustanding opportunity to stamp their authority on the tournament this evening. Spain successfully won through to the final last night but the impression is that they are limping towards the conclusion of this event. Germany rested many of their key attacking players against Greece but there remained a purpose about them going forward with the result that they scored four goals. Reus has a prolific domestic scoring record and it was no surprise to see him hit the target. Klose looked sharp despite not having started in the previous three games. It is not as if the players that were replaced had performed below par in the group stage and there are clearly many viable options at Joachim Low’s disposal. Italy’s main route to goal has been through setpieces but the Germans have a clear height advantage in defence. The likes of Cassano and Balotelli will have to be much more mindful of possession than they have been, otherwise their team will be vulnerable to Germany’s direct counterattacking style. Italy are likely to again probe the area between the centrebacks as they did against England. Van Persie had joy in this area early on in the game against Hummels and Badstuber and much will depend on Schweinsteiger’s ability to provide cover. In contrast to some of the contests played in the later stages of this tournament this game is likely to be played at a higher tempo. If Germany start with the right approach, Italy will find it hard to contain them. The extra two days recuperation afforded to Germany could also be highly advantageous.

Euro 2012 betting : Portugal vs. Spain

26 Jun
June 26, 2012

Player Markets

Back Pereira (Por) to be shown a card @11-4

Back Coentrao (Por) to be shown a card @2-1

Much of the preamble to this game has concerned Ronaldo and what steps Spain will take to nullify the threat he poses. Without question the Real Madrid winger has shown great form in the last two games but he now faces defenders that know him well. Isolated against Arbeloa, Ronaldo would be favourite to see the better of the exchanges and has the pace to break clear on goal. It is more likely, however, that one of the Spanish holding midfielders will be assigned to provide cover for the fullback. Whether Ronaldo can break these shackles is probably an even money proposition and one moment of inspiration may be enough to decide the issue. It is more clear to predict that Spain will enjoy the majority of possession. Only against teams where Spain are virtually guaranteed to dominate the game is Del Bosque inclined to start with an orthodox centre forward. In this case four attacking midfielders are likely to be employed in order to safeguard possession of the ball. Ronaldo and Nani are not in the habit of tracking back to assist their fullbacks and Portugal’s three more defensive midfielders could find themselves outnumbered. Iniesta, especially, will be keen to run at Pereira looking to draw a foul. Indeed, both Portuguese fullbacks pick up yellow cards at far greater rates than any of their teammates and Spain will look to exploit these areas.

Euro 2012 betting : England vs. Italy

24 Jun
June 24, 2012

Game Markets

Back England/Italy to draw @2-1

Last night’s quarter-final between Spain and France was a lacklustre game and it is hard to imagine that this evening is going to see a more vibrant affair. Before the introduction of Rooney for the game against Ukraine, England had been particularly shot-shy. While Rooney added more edge to the attack he betrayed his lack of match sharpness by coughing up possession 7 times throughout the game. Fortunately for England none of these turnovers resulted in a breakaway goal for the Ukraine but against more efficient opposition these errors would be punished. Some of Rooney’s play was undoubtably down to tiredness and he should be fitter for this encounter. Italy have scored the majority of their goals from setpieces. Their one goal from open play was against a Spanish team that had overcommitted to attack. As long as the game is level, England are unlikely to overextend themselves and Pirlo will be doing his best to probe for gaps in their defence. Given the quality of Buffon and Hart between the posts, the long range shooting will have to be exceptional to make any impression. England have also had plenty of joy from the crossed ball in this tournament and their chance will depend on them spending enough time in dangerous areas. All in all both sides look set to cancel each other out for much of the game.

Euro 2012 betting : France vs. Spain

23 Jun
June 23, 2012

Game Markets

Back Spain (-1) on the Asian handicap @6-4

Just as it looked like France were about to show progressive form in this tournament they posted a very laboured effort in defeat against Sweden. The result was that they have landed the toughest second round tie possible. To add to the woe their chief defensive organiser, Mexes, received a second yellow card and is suspended for today’s game. France continue to play with a high defensive line and had the Swedish forwards displayed more guile in breaking down the French offside trap, the result would have been closer to 4-0 and not 2-0. France will go on the offensive against Spain because they are not set up to play a containing game and they will try to match Spain in possession and chance creation. The problem for France is that Spain are better at that type of game. Should Spain take the lead the game could open up entirely and France could be in for a hiding. Hence the recommendation of the bet that pays well if there is a wide Spanish victory and incurs no penalty for a narrow one.

Player Markets

Back Torres to score anytime @7-4

Back Torres to score 2 or more goals @11-1

Back Silva to be ‘Man of the Match’ @7-1

The above bets are to be considered in light of France’s attacking attitude which could leave them light at the back. Torres relishes situations where he can figuratively hang off the shoulder of the last defender and collect a through ball en route to goal. For both the wagers involving Torres it is necessary that he sees 4 goalscoring opportunities throughout the game. His cause will be greatly assisted if Spain score first and France start to chase the game. David Silva has been directly involved in the scoring of four out of five of Spain’s goals in this tournament. He rates as a 7-1 shot to score a goal in this game and in addition it is very probable that he will have a big hand in creating any of Spain’s goals. Such efforts would make him a leading contender for the ‘Man of the Match’ award.

Euro 2012 betting : Czech Republic vs. Portugal

21 Jun
June 21, 2012

Game Markets

Back Portugal to win in 90 minutes @8/11

Portugal emerged from the ‘Group of Death’ having accrued a very respectable 6 points following wins against Denmark and Holland. The statistics gathered from their first three performances have credibility seeing as the quality of opposition was at least as good as any that faced the other second round qualifiers. Some very revealing sets of figures are the comparable rates at which the Czech and Portuguese turn the ball over. The Czech forward players give the ball up at a significantly higher rate than those playing for Portugal. Much of Portugal’s attacking play revolves around Ronaldo and while he can be wasteful in his shooting, he doesn’t give the ball away in open play very often. The danger for the Czechs in today’s game is that if they give possession away going forward they are likely to be punished by Portugal’s very efficient counterattack having found themselves out of position.

Player Markets

Back Ronaldo to be first goalscorer (EW) @7-2

The Real Madrid striker found his form with avengeance against Holland and could well have added to his tally of two goals. It appears he doesn’t trust the other Portuguese forwards to finish in front of goal and as a result he tends to shoot himself. It was noticeable how he drifted inside against Holland and took up some very central positions. He is barely better than even money to score from four attempts during the game. It is likely that he’ll have at least that many efforts at goal. He is also likely to be involved in any fast breaking counterattack that Portugal may launch should the Czechs give the ball away high up the field.

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